If you've been watching the news, you already know that airlines are planning pretty substantial reductions in flights, fleets, and personnel. Continental is the latest airline to announce big reductions. Its mainline fleet of about 375 planes will shrink to about 344 by the end of next year, a reduction of 8 percent. They'll also cut 3000 jobs. United may cut back as much as 18 percent; American has announced a 12 percent cut. Delta will reduce capacity by at least 10 percent. This article in USA Today shows where many of these cuts will land.
How will it affect you?
First, pretty obviously we'll see fewer seats at the lowest fares. Oh, there'll still be low fares. Airlines are addicted to them. But the cheap seats will have fewer travel dates, will sell out quicker, and you'll have to learn how to do a flexible date search to get a cheap seat.
But more importantly, if you have already purchased a ticket for future travel, or are planning to do so, you may discover that your flight no longer exists when it comes time to fly.
This is where the most pain will be caused. You'll get a call (if you're lucky) from the airline telling you that your nonstop flight from Boston to San Diego is now a connecting flight. And you're leaving two hours earlier than originally scheduled (set that alarm for 4 AM!); or your return flight will require an overnight stay in Houston. We're already seeing this sort of thing, but it will get worse.
Or, worse, sorry, we don't serve that city anymore, so you'll have to buy a last minute ticket on another airline for twice the price.
What you can do if there's a switcheroo
In such cases, you might decide that you don't want to take the trip at all. Or if you do want to make the trip, you may end up paying a much higher fare on another airline. And in the case of a "forced" overnight stay, the airline probably won't pick up your hotel bill and meal costs. You do have a choice: you can tell them to cancel your reservation and give you your money back, even on a non-refundable ticket. (Beyond that, sorry, but the airlines clearly state in their customer service terms and contracts that their schedules are not guaranteed.)
And you can build in extra time in your schedule. If your event or meeting ends at 3 PM and you're hoping to catch a 5 PM flight home, it might make sense to plan or a 7 PM return instead.
And... be sure to call your airline at least once between the time you buy your flight and the day of departure to see if the schedule has changed. Don't expect that they'll inform you (or that Travelocity, etc.) will call you. They may, they may not.
Frequent flyer miles
If you thought it was tough cashing in those miles for free flights, just imagine what's going to happen when there are fewer seats and flights to choose from. Now might be a great time to consider a cash back credit card instead of an airline-affiliated frequent flyer credit card.
If there's any silver lining here, perhaps with all these grounded planes there will be less congestion--and fewer delays-- in the skyways and on the runways.
But until the dust settles, it's going to get ugly out there.
If newer, improved planes are made that have better fuel efficient engines and are designed for passenger comfort inside them, then the dynamics will change for travelers. This is an important thing to explore, beacuse there are so many places and businesses worldwide that are dependent on tourism. Our world is a global society, with no corner untouchable (almost!). We NEED to solve this problem from the botom up, not by short term, quick fixes such as charging for baggage, etc. How long will that strategy bring in enough $$ to have any effect for an airline. All it does is anger passengers and make travel a bigger hassle than it is. There are so many inconveniences travelers have to endure (i.e. security, intricate ailine regulations, etc.) that travel is a time consuming, uncomfortable, unpleasant experience. This needs to change and it can. Government incentive for development of fuel efficiency and innovation in air travel could be a start perhaps tax credit for upgrading to newer, more efficient planes, etc. are some strategies to encourage airlines to break out of the status quo and really start seeking a forward thinking strategy for their airlines with a long term approach.
I love to travel, but dread getting to where I am going. Nothing would make me travel more, than to be able to have a decent experience for an affordable cost available and I know I am not alone.
I understand the changes I suggested are not inexpensive or easy to bring about, but they are worthy and deserve a deeper look. I would rather my tax dollars be used to create incentive for these sort of developments, which improve society and life for us all. It does not hurt for the airlines to remember that as our [opulation ages, so does the needs of it's customer. It is said that the baby boomers are the last generation to experience an improved standard of living, and it will now start to decrease. That doesn't bode well for the industry, and should be a wakeup call. Get creative and search for long term solutions, not cutting corners/band-aid approaches to the situation as it is today, or you won't be around tomorrow.
They will actually train their personel in basic cleanliness techniques so that things like food trays and water supplies are not contaminated. Also, the design of the aiplane will include adequate over the seat storage bins adequate for all passengers.
They will understand that individual tv/movies for each passenger is to their benefit as entertained passengers are happier passengers. They also will design these airplanes with a family/handiapped seating area, where there is a little more room allowed for maneuvering and soundproof partitioning to improve the noise pollution int the rest of the plane.
This amazing plane of the future will also have a small area for stretching legs and perhaps socializing of small numbers of passengers, which can be valuable in an emergency if a passenger needs CPR or some other life saving treatment. These planes will be so nice to travel in that people will WANT to travel in them so they can be built larger to hold more passengers, which in turn will allow airlines to charge less for each ticket.
Let's be honest air travel isn't going to get better unless the airlines realize they are trying to operate in an outmoded manner with outdated equipment that was deesigned before air travel became attainable fo e so many persons. We need air travel and we need it to be humanized. When that occurs, airlines will start to show reasonable profits and people will have good travel experiences starting with their flights. Get with it airline CEO's. Someone needs to have vision - if you don't - listen to the passengers! Afterall, shouldn't air travel serve a purpose, and be fun?
But honestly, some of the mess we're in isn't all the airlines' fault. We have an antiquated traffic control system that should have been modernized years ago. It costs the airlines money in extra fuel wasted (waiting for hours to take off, circling, delays) and in customer discord. So that's part of it. The airlines aren't blameless but they're not entirely at fault here. Also, they're just charging too little!
In 1979, Delta's average fare for the Atlanta to Seattle route was $188 RT. Today it's $225. In inflation adjusted terms, $188 is the equivalent of over $500 today. So think about that.